Renewable Energy Production and Load Forecasting

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AI-based energy prediction using meteorological models and historical data

Page last modified

October 31 2023

ENFOR offers market-leading energy forecasting and optimization solutions for the energy sector. Transmission and distribution system operators, utilities, asset owners and traders use ENFOR solutions for forecasting of renewable energy production, electricity and heat demand as well as optimization of district heating systems.

The solution is a self-learning and self-calibrating system based on machine learning that uses weather forecasts and historical demand data to automatically produce highly accurate electricity production and load forecasts.

The software system delivers predictions for a wide variety of operational horizons (ranging from a few minutes up to a couple of weeks ahead of time) and has a long track record of producing forecasts for assets in almost any condition.

Pro/con

Easy and inexpensive to install, maintain and operate

Minimal interference and interaction required from the client

Reliable and stable system with a proven operational track record

Automatic and highly accurate forecasts

Minimal analytical understanding of data needed

Tailor-made price structure based on configuration difficulty

Specification

Areas of Application The system is configurable for several types of renewable power generation technologies including solar, wind and hydro power (by water inflow), moreover load forecasting.

Machine Learning The technology is a self-learning and self-calibrating system that is able to learn from patterns in the historical data and the continuously received near real-time data as it recalibrates after each data receival.

Historical Data Processing The inputs for the forecasts are historical and near real-time (online/live) production data and numerical weather prediction models, but the system is capable to forecast for newly built sites using the manufacturer's power curve.

Frequency Forecasts from 5 minutes up to 2 weeks

Flexible data transmission methods API, (s)FTP, email, deliver data by site or portfolio

Capabilities Portfolio scale and country-wide application from 1 site

Modular based system Icing detection, quantiles, ramping events, thus can consider curtailments and availability of turbines/panels

Other side solutions available battery, EV charging